Thursday, May 27, 2010
Final HCD Research Graph and Numbers for the Season
I received the final HCD Research Mediacurves.com poll results, and in their Idol Democracy survey Crystal Bowersox won by nearly a 2 to 1 margin over Lee DeWyze (66.2% versus 33.8%). So since Lee won by 2% over Crystal, he must have received 51% of the total votes versus 49% for Crystal in the actual vote. If we assume the Mediacurves sampling is representative of the voting populace, we can divide the actual vote percentage by the HCD Research percentage for each one to see the voting ratios for each contestant. So for Lee we take 51/33.8 = 1.51 and for Crystal we find 49/66.2 = 0.740 which represents the percentage of the total Idol vote responsible by each percentage of the voting population for each contestant. So on average each Lee voter called in more than twice as many votes as every Crystal voter, which makes perfect sense if you consider the demographics of who prefer each contestant.
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