Well, the results are in at DialIdol.com. and according to their Idol Score prediction, Lee DeWyze should be the 2010 American Idol winner. He ended up with a score of 12.008 versus Crystal Bowersox's score of 7.687. I noticed initially his score was higher than that and over the evening it decreased but stayed substantially above Crystal's DialIdol score. However, if you look at the actual raw score tallied up by DialIdol.com you see that Crystal is actually far ahead in terms of total votes. I tallied the counts for the three phone numbers again:
Crystal = 55,048+54,652+51,422 = 161,122 = 61.4% of 262,355
Lee = 37,610_33,828+29,795 = 101,233 = 38.5% of 262,355
So in terms of total votes on Dial Idol it was not even close. They must be predicting the voting patterns following busy signals of their users, and even though the vast majority of their users were voting for Crystal the vast percentage of the busy signals were for Lee (especially early on in the evening). It was interesting to note that this week there were more than twice as many total votes as last week (262,355 versus 115,960 completed votes, 13,311 busy signals versus 4,612 last week) but compared to last year's Kris versus Adam contest there were only small fraction (412,250 total votes in 2009.) The busy percentages are way down as well, when last year all 6 numbers had busy percentages between 40 and 50% and this year Lee's were between 5-8% and Crystal's were all in the 3-5% range. For fun I even went back to the 2008 Cook versus Archuleta finale and that season had even more voting than 2009 with about a million total calls (611,638 votes and 389,207 busy signals). David Cook's busy percentages were all in the mid 40's and David Archuleta's were all around 30% (29.1% to 32.4%).
One interesting thing to note is for the past two weeks, Lee's number with the highest busy percentage is always his first number, but Crystal's highest busy percentage has been line #3. Lee also had the highest busy percentage on all three numbers last week, and it always seems to peak early and then die down. In fact Lee's #1 line has consistently been the busiest phone line for weeks, even when his #2 line is sometimes hardly busy at all. I wonder if AT&T had upgraded the line volume this year after the 40-50% busy signals last year and realized the capacity this year was not needed nearly as much. I know I called in using "Redial" manually during all the commercials during "Glee" on Crystal's number #3 (1-866-IDOLS06) and only hit three busy signals all evening. I am guessing the 200 or so votes I called in for her were probably negated by one active 14 year old Dewyze fan and her iPhone in about 10 minutes.
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