Interesting Poll response after the March 23 performance.

I am a voluntary member of the HCD Research survey panel that allows every person to vote for one person who should move onto the next round and they just sent the results from their survey of 7,397 people. This are the results from their poll:


Respondents were asked to pick the one contestant that they thought should advance to the next round of the competition:

Contestant	% that voted for contestant to move on
Crystal Bowersox	34.4
Siobhan Magnus	10.7
Katie Stevens	9.9
Casey James	8.2
Michael Lynche	6.7
Tim Urban	5.9
Lee Dewyze	5.6
Didi Benami	5.2
Andrew Garcia	4.8
Aaron Kelly	4.5
Paige Miles	4.0

So even though this properly predicted Paige would be eliminated, the other two from the "bottom three", Tim and Katie, were substantially higher on this poll than one would have expected. If the 7,397 people polled here are representative of the callers for the program, that means that callers for contestants like Aaron, Andrew and Didi must have called a lot more times than the ones who voted for Katie (who was surprisingly in third place on this poll over both Casey and Big Mike) or Tim (an even more surprising sixth over Lee and Didi.) The other solution would be that the 7,397 on this poll are not representative at all and include more Katie Stevens and Tim Urban fans than the general populace.


To register yourself for the weekly Idol Democracy studies go to: https://www.hcdsurveys.com/panel/join.cfm?source=idol2010.


The obvious poll to compare this to are the raw numbers from Dial Idol which are easy to convert to a similar percentage based table. They had a total of over 90,000 calls and busy signals, but it may actually be from a smaller sample of people, but perhaps more representative. Here are the results for this week including both the raw and percentile scores:

Contestant	Votes/Busy Signals	Percentage
Crystal Bowersox	16148	17.6%
Siobhan Magnus	13513	14.8%
Lee Dewyze	10385	11.3%
Casey James	9492	10.4%
Tim Urban	9331	10.2%
Aaron Kelly	8945	9.8%
Didi Benami	8700	9.5%
Mike Lynche	5982	6.5%
Katie Stevens	5597	6.1%
Andrew Garcia	2274	2.5%
Paige Miles	1213	1.3%

The results are quite difference here with Crystal still leading, but with her percentage of total votes substantially lower. Paige is still the unlucky eliminated contestant, but with an even lower percentage of total votes. In both these results Andrew was in the bottom three, but that was not the case on the show, although Dial Idol did predict Katie being the third from the bottom. Tim is even higher here in fifth place, which rather blows my mind. Could there possibly be that many VoteForTheWorst followers, or does he actually have that many fans? Yikes! Who would actually pay money to see him perform on stage or buy one of his recordings? Definitely not me.